If the Midterm Elections Were Today, the Democrats Would Win

A Republican’s defeat in a district carried by Trump by 17 points is a warning to the GOP that a business-as-usual campaign will fail.

Democrat Taylor Rehmet’s victory over Republican Leigh Wambsganss in the Texas State Senate special election last Saturday is an important signal: If the midterm elections were today, the Democrats would win the House by a solid majority and might even win the Senate (although the second is harder to do).

This special election was in a district President…